Food for Agile Thought 565: AI Age Manager, 10X Revenue by 10X Code? Budgeting AI Spending, Team Happiness a Goal?

TL; DR: AI Age Manager — Food for Agile Thought #565

Welcome to the 565th edition of the Food for Agile Thought newsletter, shared with 35,263 peers. This week, Camille Fournier calls middle management’s AI-era obituary premature, much as Gergely Orosz sees planning and tests outlasting handwritten code. The point that leaders confuse visibility with understanding fits AI transcripts, which Teresa Torres and Petra Wille fear can become weapons. Abundance misleads, too: more code isn’t more revenue for David Pereira and Rich Mironov, a refined backlog can mean the wrong product for Christopher Cummings, and Pavel Samsonov rejects synthetic users’ false certainty.

Next, Jillian Vordick and Stephanie Stamm find only 11% of businesses forecast AI spending accurately, and Kyle Poyar suggests how to make bills predictable. Clear plans are rare, too: Nick Graveline sees AI adoption stalling on storytelling, not tooling. Andrew Chen doubts agents inherently create network effects, yet as they do legwork, Andrej Karpathy sees human work shifting toward understanding, which anchors Alex Ewerlöf’s rejection of ‘coding is solved’: you can’t answer for code you don’t understand.

Lastly, Charity Majors ties psychological safety to uncomfortable learning, not comfort, and Maarten Dalmijn likewise raises the bar rather than designing for the least competent. Mark Levison blames situations instead: most ‘difficult’ colleagues are good people trapped by incentives or missing strategy. Jeff Gothelf sees this gap turning AI mandates into chaos and recommends spending one afternoon on goals and OKRs. Andi Roberts similarly reads matrix power beyond titles, mapping who can affect an outcome.

Food for Agile Thought 565: AI Age Manager, 10X Revenue by 10X Code? Budgeting AI Spending, Team Happiness a Goal? Age-of-Product.com
Continue reading Food for Agile Thought 565: AI Age Manager, 10X Revenue by 10X Code? Budgeting AI Spending, Team Happiness a Goal?

How to Catch AI Delegation Drift Before Your Board Does

TL;DR: The AI Delegation Audit Webinar Recording

When AI-assisted output still looks fine, it is tempting to conclude the delegation is fine. In my October 6 webinar with Scrum.org on the AI Delegation Audit, I walked through a fictional case in which that belief held for months, then fell apart in a board meeting, and showed the check that would have caught it.

How to Catch AI Delegation Drift Before the Board Does: The Recording of the AI Delegation Audit Webinar - Age-of-Product.com

Thesis: The AI Delegation Audit is a 45- to 60-minute review in the A3 Delegation System, run like a Sprint Retrospective, that checks whether a team’s AI delegations still hold; the post explains its four checks with a fictional case and shares the Scrum.org webinar recording.

Continue reading How to Catch AI Delegation Drift Before Your Board Does

Food for Agile Thought 564: AI Pace Accelerating, Product Trio Future, Career Traps for Smart People, Aggregation Theory & Agents

TL; DR: AI Pace Accelerating — Food for Agile Thought #564

Welcome to the 564th edition of the Food for Agile Thought newsletter, shared with 35,278 peers. This week, Simon Willison suggests that the current AI pace exceeds even his predictions, while Jenny Wanger believes it has made the product trio single-player, creating product debt in the process. Dan Shipper proposes a labs team expecting to discard 90% of its work, whereas Teresa Torres and Petra Wille treat innovation as a byproduct, not a goal. Ben Thompson suggests whoever owns your agent becomes the ultimate gatekeeper, yet Madeline Renbarger, M. Sriram, and Tom Dotan report even agentic commerce enthusiasts still want control.

Next, Dror Poleg suggests delegation ties his AI glossary together, and Casey Newton shows its price: OpenAI’s Dots saves him two hours but wants your email and bank account. For delegated code, Addy Osmani fears that the engineer approving it without independent checks becomes the moral crumple zone. Arvind Narayanan and Sayash Kapoor propose AI extinction probabilities are guesses wearing numbers, whereas Paweł Huryn’s analysis of AI subscription benefits rests on API list rates: SuperGrok buys 190x its price.

Lastly, John Cutler suggests your virtues lure you into career traps, while Jonny Miller points out that white-knuckled grinding ends in burnout; let go. Tim Ottinger hopes AI kills ticket culture and revives XP, whereas Viktor Cessan proposes automating internal requests only once volume justifies it. Finally, Fran Noto favors pairing over documentation; the latter captures only a fraction of what experienced people know, and Anuja Karnik and Sumeet Gayathri Moghe suggest trust grows in everyday work, not by orchestrated events.

Food for Agile Thought 564: AI Pace Accelerating, Product Trio Future, Career Traps for Smart People, Aggregation Theory for Agents - Age-of-Product.com
Continue reading Food for Agile Thought 564: AI Pace Accelerating, Product Trio Future, Career Traps for Smart People, Aggregation Theory & Agents

The Jobs Matrix for AI: Four Boxes Instead of Forty Tools

TL;DR: A 2×2 Matrix on AI for Agile Practitioners

You probably think making sense of AI means keeping up with every new tool, agent, and pricing tier. Steve Jobs faced a similar mess at Apple in 1997, with a dozen versions of the Macintosh, and he fixed it with a two-by-two grid on a whiteboard. Almost 30 years later, the “Jobs Matrix for AI” sorts the AI tool market and, more usefully, the AI use cases of Scrum Masters, Product Owners, Agile Coaches, and anyone else in agile product development.

Replace Consumer and Pro with Team and Organization, and Desktop and Portable with Chatbot and Agent, and you get four boxes that show where a use case belongs, what it takes to move it, and which box should stay empty.

The Jobs Matrix for AI: 4 Boxes Instead of 40 Tools for Agile Practitioners on Delegation and Judgment - Age-of-Product.com

Thesis: This article applies Steve Jobs’ 1997 Consumer/Pro, Desktop/Portable matrix first to the 2026 AI tool market, and then to agile practices, producing a 2×2 matrix that sorts AI use cases by required decision rights and by delegated authority.

Continue reading The Jobs Matrix for AI: Four Boxes Instead of Forty Tools

Food for Agile Thought 563: Survival of High-impact Ideas, Friction Is Good, Surrendering Agency to AI, AI in Dysfunctional Systems

TL; DR: Survival of High-impact Ideas — Food for Agile Thought #563

Welcome to the 563rd edition of the Food for Agile Thought newsletter, shared with 35,293 peers. This week, Jason Knight and Rich Mironov explore why faster AI-generated code does not create faster revenue, and Itamar Gilad sees a similar limit: output-maxing won’t rescue high-impact ideas from prioritization politics. John Cutler believes AI strips the positive friction forcing teams to think, while Roman Pichler suggests its sprawl lets teams hit targets as the business stagnates. Martin Eriksson would assumption-map leadership’s untested strategy, whereas Pavel Samsonov believes “Claude wrote it” launders slop.

Next, Artificial Analysis finds Claude Opus 5.5 tops its Intelligence Index, while Simon Willison reports that Opus on “Max” thinks so hard it never delivers the Pelican, Simon’s famous test. Addy Osmani suggests deleting “think carefully” prompts and naming when to stop. Diogo Almeida wants models to return typed decisions instead of text, creating Jev, while Charity Majors suggests chatbot answers erode trust when colleagues want your opinion. Also, Mustafa Suleyman believes Anthropic’s constitution fuels anthropomorphism and makes containing AI harder.

Lastly, Nigel Thurlow and Mike Fisher learn from Toyota: Thurlow believes AI visibility changes nothing unless leaders act, while Fisher shows performance is largely systemic. Tim O’Reilly likewise believes going AI native is a human problem. Steve Blank watched day-one AI demos turn MVPs into evidence theater, and James Shore believes AI speed gains can evaporate. Finally, Jeff Gothelf suggests key results track the humans deploying or receiving an agent’s work, not API calls.

Food for Agile Thought 563: High-impact Ideas, Friction Is Good, Surrendering Agency to AI, AI in Dysfunctional Systems - Age-of-Product.com
Continue reading Food for Agile Thought 563: Survival of High-impact Ideas, Friction Is Good, Surrendering Agency to AI, AI in Dysfunctional Systems

AI on Top of a Dysfunctional System: The Product Backlog

TL;DR: Polished Artifacts, Unchanged Decisions, Or Ten Backlog Anti-Patterns AI Makes Worse

Add AI to a Product Backlog process that already struggles, and everything seems to improve within an afternoon. The problem is that polishing artifacts with AI doesn’t fix the root cause: the basis for the team’s decisions doesn’t change; AI only removes the visible discomfort that used to signal something was broken, along with some of the pressure to fix it. AI applied to a dysfunctional system – here, the Product Backlog process – makes the dysfunction look like progress.

This is the first article of a new series that explains the uselessness of bolting AI onto a dysfunctional system. It explains why generative AI worsens ten Product Backlog anti-patterns, how polished AI artifacts can hide missing evidence and authority, and how teams can check whether their process is fit for AI.

The example anti-patterns accelerated by AI are from my Scrum Anti-Patterns Guide book.

AI on Top of a Dysfunctional System: 10 Product Backlog Anti-Patterns AI Makes Worse – by Stefan Wolpers of Age-of-Product.com

Thesis: Adding AI onto a dysfunctional system, for example, the Product Backlog, makes ten typical backlog anti-patterns worse, because polished AI artifacts hide missing customer evidence, decision authority, and feedback; the article explains these mechanisms, their costs, and how teams test whether their process is ready for AI.

Continue reading AI on Top of a Dysfunctional System: The Product Backlog